A top-level analysis of strategic possibilities regarding the fallout of Epic Fury. High risk, high reward. This analysis assumes Iran's dictatorship is fully defeated.
Good Afternoon, Sir. Good article and easy read. Two notes:
•As I read, I couldn't help but think of the Biblical accounts (e.g., Abraham, Sarah, Ishmael, Issac, then Jacob and Esau for starters!) that account for so much of the complex current-day mess 🤦🏼♂️ and,
•Nice MDMP reference (if I have decent INTEL I do my fact gathering well, those necessary Assumptions are north of 80% true!). 🤓😎😉
Greetings, yup. Thirty years of practice remains useful. I'm almost done teaching Joshua right now and will head into a new series I'm working centered on the exiles and synchronizing multiple OT books into one big picture.
That seems like it might be a very interesting series with two overarching themes: the Short-Sightedness (and in many cases, silliness) of men in history and the Sovereignty of God over men and history! 😉
I am always impressed with the reporting and analysis provided by Darin Gaub. He provides so much insight into global politics that we will never hear from any US news agency. We don’t have reporters anymore just mouth pieces for the Demonic Party.
1. Iran is totally defeated and succumbs to Western thought, rule, and influence.
2. The West (US, Israel, Europe) is totally defeated and loses ground everywhere.
3. The war results in a stalement in which the same pattern as before repeats, with each player continuing to seek its own interests at the expense of all others.
Instead of assuming that Iran's dictatorship is totally defeated, reflect on this with a clear-headed analysis bereft of political conditioning. The US and Israel may take a licking. You have to consider that possibility.
All within the range of possibilities. Good thing I'm part of the crowd of people who've never been politically conditioned, having avoided it my whole life. I also apply a Biblical worldview to all things, and that helps a lot.
Yet you spent 28 years in the service of the American State, the religion of powerful force and violence, doing whatever you were ordered and not avoiding it at all. Let's consider this from a Biblical worldview and see where it lands.
As a Christian, a believer in Jesus Christ, one who attempts to align your thoughts and actions to His Word, this question must be answered: What would Jesus do? How would Jesus respond to the situation if the Middle East? Would he use military force to accomplish his ends or would he resort to more peaceful methods? Diplomacy? Love?
What would Jesus do? And when that question is answered, there is the path which his disciples MUST follow, regardless as to their political persuasion or nationality.
This presupposes that Iran has been knocked out. It’s a very large country with 90 million people…most of who are really PO’ed. So methinks the news of Irans death are premature. Just saying
It absolutely does have to assume that to start with. Big part of high level military planning is to make 1-2 key assumptions and work from there. If an assumption is not realized, the plan shifts as it should.
Never perfect, but as I've had a role in planning major operations like this you have to make 1-2 assumptions to keep moving forward on planning. Having been in the room and done this, there are likely 3-4 planning cells working on a few possible outcomes to ensure we don't lose focus on possible future needs. One would be total success, one partial success, one partial failure, and one total failure. This process works when done right. It was not done right all too often. The alternative is ignore future possibilities and be constantly surprised and have no plan ready to adjust from when changes occur.
You do realize we can continue going around this bush. The bottom line is that though plans and contingencies are important but at this juncture we have to go beyond this. Explain to me how bombing alone (without boots on the ground) will yield regime change? These people operate a death cult that has many layers. Furthermore, the general population have not known anything else. They see the people who oppose the regime as opposing God… and deserve death. Furthermore, how many guns do the freedom fighters have. All things being equal this is a recipe for disaster. Presently, I am watching the Asian markets for a reaction…interestingly they are in a “wait and see” posture. But should things go “south” the global impact will be huge.
Good Afternoon, Sir. Good article and easy read. Two notes:
•As I read, I couldn't help but think of the Biblical accounts (e.g., Abraham, Sarah, Ishmael, Issac, then Jacob and Esau for starters!) that account for so much of the complex current-day mess 🤦🏼♂️ and,
•Nice MDMP reference (if I have decent INTEL I do my fact gathering well, those necessary Assumptions are north of 80% true!). 🤓😎😉
Greetings, yup. Thirty years of practice remains useful. I'm almost done teaching Joshua right now and will head into a new series I'm working centered on the exiles and synchronizing multiple OT books into one big picture.
That seems like it might be a very interesting series with two overarching themes: the Short-Sightedness (and in many cases, silliness) of men in history and the Sovereignty of God over men and history! 😉
And the keeping of promises for His sake, not because we are such saints :-)
Yes, indeed. I think I read somewhere that one of God's titles is "Faithful and True." 😉
I am always impressed with the reporting and analysis provided by Darin Gaub. He provides so much insight into global politics that we will never hear from any US news agency. We don’t have reporters anymore just mouth pieces for the Demonic Party.
Parties
That was exactly what I needed to read. Thank you for writing it.
Super detail analysis of country and regions inter relationships!
Jack Lawson
Your Link Tree click and link to Amazon is broken, Sir.
I haven't checked the others.
Jack Lawson
Thanks, will adjust.
There are only three possibilities here.
1. Iran is totally defeated and succumbs to Western thought, rule, and influence.
2. The West (US, Israel, Europe) is totally defeated and loses ground everywhere.
3. The war results in a stalement in which the same pattern as before repeats, with each player continuing to seek its own interests at the expense of all others.
Instead of assuming that Iran's dictatorship is totally defeated, reflect on this with a clear-headed analysis bereft of political conditioning. The US and Israel may take a licking. You have to consider that possibility.
All within the range of possibilities. Good thing I'm part of the crowd of people who've never been politically conditioned, having avoided it my whole life. I also apply a Biblical worldview to all things, and that helps a lot.
Yet you spent 28 years in the service of the American State, the religion of powerful force and violence, doing whatever you were ordered and not avoiding it at all. Let's consider this from a Biblical worldview and see where it lands.
As a Christian, a believer in Jesus Christ, one who attempts to align your thoughts and actions to His Word, this question must be answered: What would Jesus do? How would Jesus respond to the situation if the Middle East? Would he use military force to accomplish his ends or would he resort to more peaceful methods? Diplomacy? Love?
What would Jesus do? And when that question is answered, there is the path which his disciples MUST follow, regardless as to their political persuasion or nationality.
This presupposes that Iran has been knocked out. It’s a very large country with 90 million people…most of who are really PO’ed. So methinks the news of Irans death are premature. Just saying
It absolutely does have to assume that to start with. Big part of high level military planning is to make 1-2 key assumptions and work from there. If an assumption is not realized, the plan shifts as it should.
Ok.....but when does anything on such a scale go as planned? Especially since there are no boots on the ground.
Never perfect, but as I've had a role in planning major operations like this you have to make 1-2 assumptions to keep moving forward on planning. Having been in the room and done this, there are likely 3-4 planning cells working on a few possible outcomes to ensure we don't lose focus on possible future needs. One would be total success, one partial success, one partial failure, and one total failure. This process works when done right. It was not done right all too often. The alternative is ignore future possibilities and be constantly surprised and have no plan ready to adjust from when changes occur.
That’s been my experience as well.
You do realize we can continue going around this bush. The bottom line is that though plans and contingencies are important but at this juncture we have to go beyond this. Explain to me how bombing alone (without boots on the ground) will yield regime change? These people operate a death cult that has many layers. Furthermore, the general population have not known anything else. They see the people who oppose the regime as opposing God… and deserve death. Furthermore, how many guns do the freedom fighters have. All things being equal this is a recipe for disaster. Presently, I am watching the Asian markets for a reaction…interestingly they are in a “wait and see” posture. But should things go “south” the global impact will be huge.